Daily sports picks

The Daily Edge

AI-researched picks across every sport on the books, plus a game simulator and prediction markets. New picks by 9 AM Central. Every result stays on the record.

Record0-00 pushes
Units+0.00profit
ROI0.0%per unit risked
Win rate-0 graded

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Value finder

We compare every sportsbook's price on the same bet, strip out each book's cut, and average them into a fair price. When a legal US book is paying more than that fair price, it shows up here. Paid tools charge $50 to $200 a month for this. Here it's free.

Scanning the latest saved odds.

Prices can move fast. Always check the price at the book before you bet. A higher number here means a bigger edge on paper, not a sure win.

Daily pick'em contest

Free to play, no money involved. Pick the winner of today's top games before they start. One point for every win. Climb today's leaderboard and the season standings. Picks lock when each game starts.

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Today's leaderboard
#PlayerW-LPicks
Season standings
#PlayerW-LWin %Days won

Ask the AI

Free

Ask anything about today's picks, a game, a bet type or how odds work. Examples: "Why do you like the Steelers?", "What does +150 pay on $20?", "Is a 4-leg parlay a good idea?"

AI answers can be wrong. It uses today's picks and scores, not live odds, so check the line at your sportsbook before betting.

Today's board

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Loading today's picks. The morning's slips appear here with a breakdown, confidence level and unit size for each one.

Every card below is a suggested play with the bet, the odds, how many units to put on it and why. Units come from the Unit sizer in the toolbox.

Player props

Bets on a single player's numbers: points, rebounds, assists, goals, shots, yards, touchdowns and who scores first. Each one shows the line, the odds and why we like it. Want to check a prop yourself? Use the Player research page.

Player research

Look up any NBA, WNBA, NFL, NHL, MLB or college player. You'll see their recent games, then pick a stat and type the prop line to see how often they went over it.

Game lines

Moneyline means just pick the winner. Spread means a team has to win by more than the number, or lose by less if they're getting points. Total means the combined score goes over or under the number. Quarter, half, race-to-points and first-to-score picks are here too, and the Simulator's "More markets" button gives our fair price on all of them for every game.

Parlay builder

Tap picks into your slip
Your slip

Your slip is empty. Add picks from the list below.

    Parlay odds-
    Payout-
    Profit-
    Chance it hits-

    Today's picks

    Every leg has to win for a parlay to pay. More legs pay more but hit far less often, so keep the stake small.

    Standings & injuries

    Loading.

    Source: ESPN. Injury statuses change fast near game time, so check again before you bet.

    Schedule

    The next 7 days of games for any league, with the current spread and total from ESPN's sportsbook partner. Tap a league.

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    Prediction markets closing soon

    Your settings

    These stay on this device only. Nothing is sent anywhere, and there is no account to make.

    My teams: None yet. Open a game's Matchup on the Scores page and tap Follow.

    Need a break from betting? Every sportsbook has deposit limits, time-outs and self-exclusion in its account settings. Free, confidential help: call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

    Prediction markets

    On Kalshi and Polymarket you buy YES or NO on a question, like a city's high temperature or a crypto price. A share pays $1 if you're right, so a 34¢ price means the market gives it about a 34% chance. Access depends on your state.

    Live market board

    Live prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The price in cents is the market's chance, not ours. Our own estimate only appears on the plays above. "Bid" is the best price someone will pay you, "ask" is the best price you can buy at, and a wide gap or low volume means the market is thin and harder to get in and out of. Election and political markets are not shown.

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    Scores

    Watch live games right here. Every live game card below shows the action as it happens: the field and ball, the count, the last play and who's winning. Tap Watch now on a card to open the official app streaming that game, or Matchup for play-by-play and highlights.

    How it works: every live game has a Gamecast (field position, down and distance, the count in baseball, the last play and the live win chance), a "Watch on" link to the official app it's on, and a Matchup button with play-by-play, scoring plays, a win-chance chart and highlights. Every game across sports, updated every 30 seconds. Live games show a re-simulated win chance and a fair live price. Tap Matchup for play-by-play, injuries, line moves and highlights, and "Watch on" for the official app it's on. Our picks and the bets you save under Tools → My bets (written like "Bills -3") are tracked right on their games.

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    Tennis tools

    How to watch for free or cheap

    All legal. Tap a "Watch on" link on any game above to go straight to the official app it's on.

    Free: a TV antenna

    A basic indoor antenna (often $20 to $40, one-time) picks up your local ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC stations for free. That covers most Sunday NFL games, a lot of college football, plus some NBA, NHL, soccer and golf on those networks. Many cities also get Spanish-language channels like Univision and Telemundo. Check which channels reach your address with the FCC's free signal map at fcc.gov/media/engineering/dtvmaps.

    Free: streaming apps with ads

    Free apps like Pluto TV, Tubi, The Roku Channel and Samsung TV Plus have sports channels with highlights, classic games, sports talk and some live events. Big games usually aren't on them, but they cost nothing and need no cable login.

    Free for a while: trials

    Live TV apps like YouTube TV, Fubo, Hulu + Live TV, DirecTV Stream and Sling often offer a free trial or a first-month deal for new customers. Offers change often, so check each app's sign-up page, and set a reminder to cancel before you're charged if you don't want to keep it.

    Cheaper: pick one app for your sport

    Instead of cable, you can pay for just the app your games are on: ESPN, Peacock (NBC and some NFL, NBA and soccer), Paramount+ (CBS games and Champions League), Prime Video (Thursday Night Football and some NBA), Max (NBA, NHL, college), Apple TV (MLS), NBA League Pass, NHL games on ESPN+, MLB.TV or NFL+. Local blackouts can apply, so read the fine print.

    Free: listen live

    Most teams and leagues stream the radio call free on their own apps or websites, and many local radio stations carry the home team. Handy when you're in the car or can't find the game on TV.

    Free: highlights

    Tap Matchup on a game for official clips that open on ESPN. The leagues' own YouTube channels also post highlights soon after games end.

    Stay away from sites that offer every game free with no sign-in. They're illegal, often full of malware and scam pop-ups, and they go down without warning.

    Game simulator

    Every game here is simulated 10,000 times, starting from the betting market's consensus numbers across every sportsbook. Then each book's price is checked against the simulation. A green value tag means that book is paying more than the simulation says the bet is worth.

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    Build your own matchup · any game, even ones not listed above

    Type in the line from your sportsbook and the simulator prices every other market for that game: quarters, halves, race to points, set betting and more.

    Where to bet

    Opens in a new tab

    Check that a sportsbook or market is legal in your state before signing up. Lines move, so compare odds across books before you bet.

    Results

    Every graded pick

    No graded picks yet. Results post each morning after the games finish.

    What these numbers mean

    Record is wins and losses (pushes, where the bet is refunded, are counted separately). Units is profit measured in units, so a 1-unit bet at -110 that wins adds +0.91. ROI is units won divided by units risked. Win rate leaves out pushes. Calibration compares the chance we gave each pick with how often picks at that level actually won. All of these are live results from picks posted before the games, not backtests.

    Confidence levels are checked here against real results. If "High" doesn't win more often than "Low" over time, the levels get adjusted and the change is noted on the How it works page.

    Toolbox

    Enter American odds for each leg (like -110 or +150).

    Parlay odds-
    Payout-
    Profit-
    Chance it hits-

    Chance is based on the books' implied odds, which include their cut, so the true chance is a little lower.

    How it works

    Where the picks come from

    Every morning an AI researcher reads the day's lines, injury reports, recent form, matchup history and expert previews, then picks only the bets where the numbers show an edge. Each pick lists its sources. Passing is allowed, so some sports have no pick on some days.

    What the percentages mean

    "Odds imply" is the chance the sportsbook's price suggests. "Our estimate" is the chance we think the bet really has. The edge is the gap between the two. A pick with a 55% estimate still loses 45% of the time.

    How the simulator and live win chances work

    The simulator starts from the consensus line across every sportsbook, then plays each game 10,000 times to estimate win, cover and over chances, and checks every book's price against that. Live win chances re-run the rest of the game from the current score and clock. These are estimates built on the market's numbers, not certainties.

    Data sources

    Odds come from The Odds API (FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM and other books), refreshed a few times a day. Scores come from ESPN's public scoreboard and refresh every 30 seconds. Weather markets use National Weather Service forecasts. Each card and page shows when its data was last updated.

    The record

    Every pick is saved with the date it was posted and graded the next morning from final scores and stat lines. Losses and pushes stay up. Old picks are never edited or deleted to look better. Futures stay open until they settle.

    Corrections and changes

    If a pick posts with a wrong number or a game is postponed, the card gets an update note instead of being quietly changed. Changes to how picks or confidence levels are made are listed here with a date.

    Put it on your phone like an app

    iPhone: open the site in Safari, tap Share, then "Add to Home Screen". Android: open it in Chrome, tap the menu, then "Install app" or "Add to Home screen". It's free and needs no app store.

    Report a mistake

    Spot a wrong score, line or stat? Email [email protected] with the pick and what's wrong.

    Quarter, half and race bets

    1st quarter, 1st half and 2nd half

    Same as a full-game spread, total or moneyline, but only that part of the game counts. Quarter and half bets settle when that period ends, even if the game goes on. A 1st half spread is usually a little more than half the full-game spread.

    Race to 10, 20 or 30 points

    You bet on which team gets to that number first. If neither team reaches it (rare in basketball, common for "race to 30" in football), the bet usually loses or is voided, depending on the book's rules.

    First team to score

    Which team puts up the first points. It's close to a coin flip with a small edge to the better offense, and in football the opening kickoff matters.

    Winning margin and overtime

    Bets on how much a team wins by, like "Bills by 1-6," or whether the game goes to overtime. They pay more because they're harder to hit.

    Soccer: both teams to score, double chance, draw no bet

    Both teams to score is just that. Double chance covers two of the three results (like "home or draw"). Draw no bet refunds you if it ends tied.

    Baseball: first 5 innings and NRFI/YRFI

    First 5 innings (F5) bets only count the first five innings, mostly a bet on the starting pitchers. NRFI means no run in the 1st inning by either team, and YRFI means at least one run.

    Hockey: 1st period and puck line

    1st period bets cover only the first 20 minutes. The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals.

    Where to find our numbers

    Open the Simulator, pick a game and tap "More markets." Every one of these bets has our estimated chance and fair price, so you can compare it with what your book is paying.

    Privacy and terms

    Your privacy

    There are no accounts, no ads and no tracking cookies. Your saved bets, parlay slip, followed teams, notes and settings stay in your own browser on your own device, and you can wipe them anytime from Tools. Questions you type into Ask the AI are sent to Cloudflare's AI service to get an answer and are not saved by The Daily Edge. Nothing is ever sold.

    Terms of use

    The Daily Edge is free research and entertainment. It is not financial advice, and it never takes bets or holds money. Picks can and do lose. You must be 21 or older (or the legal age where you live) to bet, and it's on you to use only sportsbooks and prediction markets that are legal in your state. Data comes from outside sources and can be late or wrong, so confirm odds and lineups with your book before betting.

    Contact

    Questions, mistakes or ideas: [email protected].

    Data status

    When each feed last updated. If something says delayed, the numbers on that page may be behind.

    How to read a pick

    Spread (Wisconsin +2.5)

    The team getting points (+) can lose by less than that number and still win your bet. The team giving points (-) has to win by more than the number.

    Moneyline (+150 or -150)

    Just pick the winner. +150 means a $100 bet wins $150. -150 means you bet $150 to win $100.

    Total, or over/under (Over 56.5)

    A bet on the combined score of both teams. Over 56.5 wins if they score 57 or more together.

    Units (1 unit, 0.5 units)

    A unit is your normal bet size, usually 1 to 2 percent of the money you set aside for betting. The Unit sizer in the toolbox works it out. Bigger confidence gets more units.

    Parlay

    Several bets combined into one. It pays more, but every leg has to win, so it hits much less often.

    Prediction market price (34¢)

    On Kalshi and Polymarket you buy YES or NO on a question. A 34¢ share pays $1 if you're right, so the price is roughly the market's chance it happens.

    Push

    A tie with the line, like a team winning by exactly the spread. You get your money back.

    Bet smart

    Set a bankrollOnly bet money you set aside for it, never rent, bills or money you need.
    Keep units steadyDon't double up to win back a loss. Chasing is how bankrolls disappear.
    No bet is a sure thingEven the best bet of the day loses often. Judge picks over weeks, not one day.
    Take a breakIf it stops being fun, stop. Every sportsbook lets you set limits or take a time-out.
    Need to talk?Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER, any time, free and confidential.