Rayo Vallecano (3-3-4) at Real Sociedad (6-1-4): prediction and pick

Real Sociedad are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 55% to win (RSO -140). Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1.0, Real Sociedad 1.5 (average goals), against a betting total of 2.5. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (Rayo Vallecano) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: Rayo Vallecano +375, Real Sociedad -124. Built from the betting line with the sportsbook's cut removed.

Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1.0, Real Sociedad 1.5 (average goals)

Spread: RSO -140

Total: 2.5

Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +350, Real Sociedad -140

DraftKings line. Shop around, prices differ by book.

• Real Sociedad: 3-2 in the last 5 (L W W W D, most recent first)
• Rayo Vallecano: 2-3 in the last 5 (W W L D D, most recent first)

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