Alavés (3-3-5) at Sevilla (5-2-4): prediction and pick

Sevilla are slight favorites in what looks like a close game at 48% to win (SEV -105). Our predicted score is Alavés 1.1, Sevilla 1.4 (average goals), against a betting total of 2.5. Alavés come in cold, 0-5 in their last 5. With a game this close, the moneyline on the underdog (Alavés) is often where the value is, if anywhere.

Fair odds: Alavés +323, Sevilla +106. Built from the betting line with the sportsbook's cut removed.

Predicted score: Alavés 1.1, Sevilla 1.4 (average goals)

Spread: SEV -105

Total: 2.5

Moneyline: Alavés +300, Sevilla -105

DraftKings line. Shop around, prices differ by book.

• Sevilla: 2-3 in the last 5 (L W W L D, most recent first)
• Alavés: 0-5 in the last 5 (L D L L D, most recent first)

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